Pascal Distribution

1 min read Updated Fri Apr 24 2026 10:47:59 GMT+0000 (Coordinated Universal Time)

Aka. negative binomial distribution. Consists of independent bernoulli trials. The experiment is continued until rr successes are achieved. Observed variable is the number of total trials (XX). Denoted by b(x;r,p)b^*(x;r,p).

P(x)=(x1r1)pr(1p)xrP(x) = \binom{x-1}{r-1} p^r (1-p)^{x-r}

Here:

  • pp - probability of success in a single trial
  • rr - number of successes required

Mean

μX\mu_X means the expected number of trials until rr successes.

μX=rp\mu_X = \frac{r}{p}

Variance

VX=r(1p)p2V_X = \frac{r(1-p)}{p^2}